Background: Why Did Israel Target Iran’s President?
Israel and Iran have been locked in a shadow war for decades:
Israel sees Iran’s nuclear program and regional influence (through groups like Hezbollah, Hamas, and Houthis) as an existential threat.
Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in June 2025, is a reformist but strongly defends Iran’s nuclear rights.
Intelligence reports suggested Pezeshkian’s government was accelerating uranium enrichment and renewing ties with regional proxies to push back against Israel’s covert strikes.
Tensions spiked after Iran allegedly provided advanced drones to Hezbollah for use against Israel’s northern border.
In early June 2025, a series of covert attacks hit Iranian nuclear sites. Tehran blamed Israel and threatened retaliation — this escalated into Operation Rising Lion, Israel’s largest coordinated strike inside Iran since 1981.
The Attack Itself Timeline & Method
Date: Approx. June 16–17, 2025
Location: A secure bunker of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) in western Tehran — one of Iran’s most protected command centers.
Who was there?
President Masoud Pezeshkian
Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei
Top IRGC commanders
Security & intelligence chiefs
How did the strike happen?
According to leaked Revolutionary Guard reports, Israeli operatives pinpointed the SNSC meeting through signals intelligence and a local informant.
Six precision-guided missiles (likely launched by an F-35 or drones) struck:
Entry/exit points of the underground complex
External ventilation shafts
Surrounding power grid
Objective: Trap senior leadership inside by collapsing exits, suffocate them by cutting airflow, and disable comms.
Result:
One blast caused a partial collapse near the main entrance.
The building’s backup generators failed.
A pre-constructed emergency tunnel (unknown to Israeli planners) allowed Pezeshkian and others to escape.
Pezeshkian reportedly tripped or was struck by debris, injuring his leg.
Ghalibaf and Ejei had minor injuries but no critical casualties were confirmed.
How Did Israel Pull It Off?
Intelligence leaks suggest:
Inside help: An Iranian insider or digital breach gave Israel details about the time and location of the meeting.
Israel’s Unit 8200 (cyber intelligence) may have hacked secure comms to track real-time movements.
Drone surveillance might have confirmed Pezeshkian’s presence before launch.
Missiles were likely air-launched from outside Iran’s borders, possibly fired from stealth jets over the Persian Gulf or from drones within Iranian airspace.
What Has Iran Said?
Iranian state media first denied the incident. Then multiple reports from semi-official news agencies and a leaked IRGC internal memo forced an acknowledgment.
On July 7, Pezeshkian himself confirmed the attempt in an interview with Tucker Carlson, saying:
“Yes, they tried. It was not America. It was Israel.”
The government is conducting a full internal probe, focused on:
Identifying the source of the intelligence leak.
Punishing internal traitors or infiltrators.
Revolutionary Guard commanders have promised “direct and indirect retaliation.”
Regional & Political Impact
Escalation Risk:
Targeting a sitting head of state is an unprecedented escalation in the Iran-Israel rivalry.
Some analysts say this marks the transition from covert sabotage (scientists, nuclear facilities) to open decapitation attempts.
Domestic Reaction in Iran:
Pezeshkian is relatively moderate compared to his hardline predecessors.
Ironically, the attack has rallied moderates and conservatives behind him — calls for unity have grown louder.
He’s used this as leverage to tighten security around senior leadership and purge suspected double agents.
Diplomatic Fallout:
Iran paused indirect nuclear talks with the US, blaming the West for indirectly green-lighting Israeli actions.
However, Pezeshkian hinted Iran may resume talks if the US guarantees no further “terroristic assassinations.”
Israel has remained silent — following its usual neither-confirm-nor-deny policy.
Wider Middle East:
Hezbollah, Houthis, and Iraqi militias have threatened to retaliate on Iran’s behalf.
Israeli embassies in Europe and Asia went on high alert.
There’s fear of proxy attacks on US bases as well, as Iran may indirectly blame Washington for failing to restrain Israel.
Why Did The Attempt Fail?
Emergency Planning:
Iran’s top brass has prepared for “decapitation strikes” for years.
Multiple redundant tunnels and safe rooms are standard in elite Iranian government facilities.
Operational Miscalculation:
The strike’s timing and entry-point targeting showed high-level planning but didn’t account for the full layout.
Possible Israeli Message:
Some analysts think Israel never intended to kill him outright but to send a message: You are not safe anywhere.
What Happens Next?
Possible Iranian Response:
Covert: More attacks on Israeli-linked shipping, cyberattacks.
Proxy: Hezbollah or Iraqi groups might launch missiles at Israel.
Diplomatic: Push the West to restrain Israel through back channels.
Pezeshkian’s Political Future:
He might get a surge in domestic popularity as a “survivor.”
Could use the attempted hit to push harder for regional alliances or even accelerate nuclear capabilities.
Israel’s Calculus:
If the operation had succeeded, it might have triggered massive retaliation.
Its failure still demonstrates how deep Israel’s intelligence reach is — which will likely spook Iran’s leadership.
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